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Hedge (Bet and
Lay) the odds
in Football Matches
on Betfair or other betting exchange.
List of all
available spreadsheets.
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You could Hedge a football match by
:-
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Betting or Laying one of the teams or the Draw, and then
after some time has passed, Bet or Lay for a guaranteed
profit.
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Betting or Laying one of the teams or the Draw, and then
after a goal is scored, Bet or Lay for a guaranteed profit.
Both
methods take advantage of the very predictable changes
in the odds in football matches.
If the Bet odds are bigger than the Lay odds, you cannot lose.
This new exit strategy is
designed to overcome the well known problem of the Draw
odds not lengthening after a goal is scored.
You can now trade straight into profit in any game at a
score of 1-0 or 0-1, and often equalize your trade for an
equal profit on all 3 possible outcomes at a score of
1-1.
Read the
Hedge The Draw
description below for details. |
On this web page
New.
Beat Your Bookie
Guaranteed
profits from Bookmakers
New.
Hedge Under 1.5 Goals
Hedge 1-1
Hedge 3 Bets spreadsheet
Other web sites with
spreadsheets
betformulas.co.uk
Formulas and maths of trading
betandlay.co.uk/strategies
Strategies for trading Horses and
Football |
Beat Your Bookie
every time.
Trade a mathematical
certainty for guaranteed winnings using your local bookie.
This strategy is supplied by
a professional trader.
I have had contact with this professional trader over the last few
months (to Dec 2009).
I have asked his advice about what he does to make a very good income
from his trading, and how he goes about it.
Now is your chance to copy some of what he does.
Beat
Your Bookie.
We have all come to expect better odds and trading opportunities to be
with on-line bookmakers, but this
Beat
Your Bookie
strategy is unusual
in that it requires bets to be placed in betting shops using betting
slips.
These trades may be ideal if you work in a city centre where there is a
choice of High Street bookmaker's shops, or if you have a number of
bookies close to where you live.
If your workplace is close to one or 2 bookie's shops, you could use
your lunch break to start your trades, and complete them later in the
day or the next day, depending on the timing of the event that you are
betting on.
This strategy relies on our
high street bookies making mistakes when they price up their odds on
certain events, which they do with surprising regularity, every week.
The E-Book on offer here describes how to identify these mistakes very
easily and describes how to trade them to guaranteed winnings.
Get this right, and you cannot lose.
This system has absolutely nothing to do with free bets, refunds, or any
other incentive that bookies use to encourage customers to bet with
them.
You don't need an account with a bookmaker to make these trades.
Stake correctly and you will have guaranteed winnings from every one of
these trades - - you will be trading a mathematical certainty.
It doesn't matter whether you hit all winners, all losers, or some
of each - - stake correctly, and you will win every time when you make
these trades.
This is not a "Get Rich Quick" method.
Professional trading often relies on steady and consistent profits over
a period of time rather than the roller coaster of occasional big wins,
separated by a series of losing bets.
Returns from these trades will show a very good percentage profit every
time, a percentage that would be welcomed by any serious trader.
No trade carries zero risk, but unless something goes drastically wrong
such as a mistake on your betting slip, these trades should carry little
or no risk whatsoever.
A betting bank is required to make these trades, as money will be traded
with several different companies.
Whilst your money is moving back and forth as you hit winners and losers
with your bookie bets, your bank will be increasing with EVERY trade.
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Beat
Your Bookie £19.95
You will need Adobe Reader to view this e-book.
The e-book in PDF
format contains :-
- Full easy
instructions
- Links to
relevant web sites
- Additional
information from the very experienced author on
how to get the most out of these trades.
- How to make
guaranteed winnings using bets at your local
betting shop.
Payment is by PayPal, but you don't need a PayPal account to use the payment
button below.
After payment, the system will be sent to you by e-mail within 24 hours.
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Hedge Under 1.5 Goals with insurance.
This is a Bet First
strategy in which we look to trade during the First Half of a football match.
As you know, whilst the score remains 0-0, the odds of Under 1.5 Goals
drop as time passes in the game.
A bet on Under 1.5 Goals before the Kick Off can be layed to profit at
anytime whilst the score remains 0-0.
After one goal is scored, either 1-0 or 0-1 in the Correct Score market
(whichever is still In Play) and Under 1.5 Goals, become equivalent markets.
The odds of Under 1.5 Goals will be virtually the same as either 1-0 or 0-1 - -
- whichever is still In Play.
Quite often, after one goal in the First Half,
the market expects more goals, so the odds of Under 1.5 Goals can be bigger
after the first goal than they were before the Kick Off.
In such a game, it may be impossible to lay Under 1.5 Goals to profit
immediately after a goal has been scored without trading to a sizeable loss.
To exit to profit from such a trade usually involves sweating it out whilst we
wait for time to pass in the game and the odds of Under 1.5 Goals to drop.
Whilst we are waiting, we run the risk of a second goal making our whole trade a
losing bet.
This "Under 1.5 Goals with insurance" strategy gets around that problem in
most games by trading the scores
of 0-0, 1-0 and 0-1 and using an insurance lay, instead of simply
betting and laying in the Under 1.5 Goals market.
Basic strategy.
- Before the Kick Off, bet scores in the
Correct Score market.
- Before the Kick Off, place a lay as
insurance against a 0-0 result.
- As the game progresses with a score of 0-0,
we look to exit the market by laying our bets, and betting our insurance lay
for an overall profit.
As time passes in the game, we expect this profit to increase whilst the
score is 0-0.
- If a goal is scored, Lay our one remaining
In Play score (either 1-0 or 0-1) in the Correct Score market to an overall profit
or an acceptable loss, to
exit the whole trade.
Note that a goal after about 30 minutes can often be very good for this
strategy.
When we trade this strategy, we bet and
lay the very predictable odds of 0-0, 1-0 & 0-1.
We look to exit to profit
whilst the score remains 0-0.
If a goal is scored, the profit from our insurance lay will often enable
us to trade to profit without having to wait for time to pass in the
game
before placing our lay on 1-0 or 0-1 (whichever is still In Play) to exit our trade.
An early goal can cause problems.
Also, as with any trade involving Under 1.5 Goals, 2 quick goals means
end of trade, but our insurance lay means that we don't lose our whole
bet stakes.
We place our insurance lay to help us to trade to profit after one goal
and keep losses down to an acceptable level if the first goal is scored early in the game, or 2 quick goals are scored.
If we are able to select low scoring games
with no goals or only one goal in the First Half, this strategy may
produce consistent profits in the long term.
For a description of how the odds perform in the Correct Score market,
follow this link. or click the
"Football Odds" tab at the top of this web page.
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Hedge Under 1.5
Goals With Insurance Excel spreadsheets £10.
You will need Excel 2000 or a later
version to view these spreadsheets.
These spreadsheets show
the stakes required to :-
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Dutch bet scores in the
Correct Score market to balance stakes before the Kick Off.
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Hedge the 3
individual scores 0-0, 1-0 & 0-1
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Links to
Videos describing this strategy are provided after purchase.
-
There is also a
detailed write-up.
After payment via
PayPal, select the "Return to merchant" option on the PayPal screen.
PayPal should then route you to a download web page where you can obtain the
Excel spreadsheet file. Hedge
Under 1.5 Goals With Insurance
spreadsheets price = £10.
Payment is by PayPal, but you don't need a PayPal account to use the payment
button below
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Hedge 1-1.
This
Hedging strategy relies on a decrease in the odds of the 1-1 score line in the
Correct Score market, after a goal is scored or two goals are scored to get the
score to 1-1.
Whether you are
a seasoned trader or a beginner, this strategy offers quite a safe way of
trading.
Providing you stake correctly, you could make good percentage profits on
your initial stake if you are able to Hedge using this strategy.
The big advantage of this
strategy is that it is a Bet First Hedge, rather than a Lay First Hedge.
Whenever you use a Lay First hedge (odds increasing), your profit will
always be less than your original Lay stake, but with a Bet First hedge, (odds
decreasing), your profit can be much bigger than your original Bet stake.
This means that the potential profits from this Hedge of the Correct
Score Market can be very good.
If events go against you, a
Dutching strategy is provided to enable you to continue
trading in the match.
The big odds available for this exit strategy can make this
Hedging of the 1-1 score line strategy quite a safe way of
trading football matches.
Basic Strategy.
-
Before the kick-off,
place a 1-1 Bet in the
Correct Score market.
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Place an Insurance
Bet.
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Whilst there are no
goals, do nothing - you will break even.
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After a goal is
scored, Lay your original 1-1 Bet score line to profit if the
Lay odds are lower than your original Bet odds.
Examples of
risks.
-
A goal may be scored
but the 1-1 odds may not shorten sufficiently to enable a
successful Hedge.
For example, the first goal may be scored very early in the
game, or if the game is looking very one-sided, the market may
judge that the losing side will not equalize to get the score to
1-1.
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2 quick goals scored
by the same side can take the score to 2-0 or 0-2 before we have
had time to place our 1-1 Lay or exit strategy bets whilst the
score is 1-0 or 0-1.
This type of problem of course applies to other strategies.
If you were trading the Draw in the Match Odds market, a quick
goal by both sides taking the score to 1-1, would cause trading
problems.
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Hedge 1-1 Correct
Score Excel spreadsheets £10.
You will need Excel 2000 or a later
version to view these spreadsheets.
These spreadsheets show
the stakes required to :-
-
Hedge any draw score
line using a basic hedge.
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Hedge a 1-1 score
line with an insurance bet.
-
Dutch the markets if
the odds do not shorten sufficiently for a successful Hedge in
the Correct score market.
After payment via
PayPal, select the "Return to merchant" option on the PayPal screen.
PayPal should then route you to a download web page where you can obtain the
Excel spreadsheet file.
Hedge 1-1 Correct Score
spreadsheets price = £10.
Payment is by PayPal, but you don't need a PayPal account to use the payment
button below.
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Hedge 3 bets.
This Hedge 3 Bets spreadsheet was built
specifically for trading the 3 outcomes of the Match Odds market in football matches, but you can
use this spreadsheet to
Bet and Lay 1, 2, or 3 selections in any market.
The only inputs required are your matched bets, to mirror your matched bets on
Betfair, and the current odds.
Hedge
(Bet and Lay) up to 3 selections in any
event - football, cricket, tennis, darts, horses, etc.
This Hedge 3 Bets spreadsheet
will enable you to keep track of exactly what you are doing whilst
placing a series of Bets and Lays.
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Your
position in the market is shown at all times for each
individual selection.
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Your
overall position is shown for all 3 selections combined.
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You
can see exactly where you stand in the market at all times.
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The spreadsheet
shows what you need to do next Bet or Lay, to equalize
each trade.
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Equalizing stakes
are shown over a range of 9 odds increments, 4
either side of your current odds.
As the odds change within those 9 increments, there is no need
to update the odds on the spreadsheet. -
Plan your next move.
The spreadsheet shows the effect that equalizing at each of
those 9 odds would have on your present position-
You
can
input Bets or Lays on the spreadsheet to see "What If" situations, whilst the
game progresses, without messing about on Betfair.
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Excel spreadsheets are
a quick and reliable way
of doing calculations.
You can build a spreadsheet with the facilities described above, or purchase an
excellent spreadsheet here for only a tenner.
Hedge 3 Bets spreadsheet.
You will need Excel 2000 or a later version to view this
spreadsheet.
This Hedge 3 Bets spreadsheet is
ideal for trading several transactions on up to 3 selections.
The spreadsheet calculates instantly the Bet or Lay stake required to equalize
your trades.
Input the odds of your Bets and Lays to mirror your Matched Bets and Lays on
Betfair, plus the current odds and the spreadsheet :-
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Shows your current
position in the market for each individual selection..
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Shows your current position in the market for all 3 combined
selections.
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Decides for you
whether you need to bet or Lay in order to equalize your trade.
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Shows 9 odds
increments, with associated stakes for equalization.
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Shows the effect
that equalizing at each of those 9 odds would have on your
present position.
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Allows 10 Bet and 10
Lay matched inputs for all 3 selections (60 in total).
The spreadsheet can be
used for trading - you can bet and lay a market for a single runner, golfer, football team, cricket team, tennis player, etc.,
or up to 3 selections.
Bet first, or lay first, it makes no difference, this spreadsheet will
decide for you what you need to do next to equalize your trade,
and will display a range of stakes required.
Use this spreadsheet to place a
single Bet and Lay, or a series of Bets and Lays to an All
Green Screen.
Stake and
Hedge correctly, and you cannot lose.
After payment via
PayPal, select the "Return to merchant" option on the PayPal screen.
PayPal should then route you to a download web page where you can obtain the
Excel spreadsheet file.
Hedge 3 Bets
spreadsheet price = £10.
Payment is by PayPal, but you don't need a PayPal account to use the payment
button below.
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