Dutch a
Football Match on Betfair or other exchange.
Bet or lay several selections in 1 or 2 markets, using a spreadsheet
that shows your overall position across both markets, including commission
deductions.
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Dutching Correct
Score with other Betfair markets.
A range of strategies can be used
if we combine more than one market.
The market that is most commonly used to trade across more than one football market
is Correct Score.
Rather than bet or lay a selection such as Under 1.5 Goals, we could
trade just part of it by betting or laying in Correct Score.
Example. We may decide that a game will not end 0-0, and we would like to
trade the Under/Over markets.
Before the Kick Off, we could bet Under 1.5 Goals, wait for time to
pass in the game, and then whilst the score remains 0-0, bet Over
1.5 Goals as the odds increase for Over 1.5 Goals but drop for
Under 1.5 Goals..
If we were able to do that, we would have guaranteed profit.
If we decided that goals would be
scored, an alternative could be to set up a trade before the Kick Off by betting the
scores 1-0 & 0-1, plus Over 1.5 Goals.
Providing there is some score, we have a winning trade since with one or more
goals, we have already bet all possible scores before the start of the game.
The Betfair screens would show your position in both markets, but
not the 2 markets combined.
Also, you would need to decide on the size of stakes in either
market in order to balance the profit from your trade.
The spreadsheet below shows the stakes required to balance your
profit and shows your total market position across both markets
after commission deductions. Note that commission in one market would probably be more
than in the other, so depending on the result of the game, your
profit would differ in both markets.
You could make a profit in one market but a loss in the other,
depending on the odds that you trade and the result of the game.
Unless your mental arithmetic is very good or you are quick with a
calculator, you may have no way of knowing your overall trading
position whilst you are
trading, as the Betfair screens don't combine markets.
This spreadsheet eliminates that problem by showing the position of
your whole trade in both markets.
Here are some examples of how
Correct Score can be combined with other equivalent markets.
If you add these Correct Score odds together, you will see that
they will be very close to their equivalents in other markets.
If they weren't, traders would soon step in and take advantage
of the difference in the odds by betting in one market and laying in the
other, which would equalize the odds in the 2 markets.
The Scores 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 are
the same as Under 1.5 Goals.
The Scores 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 2-0, 0-2, 1-1 are the same as
Under 2.5 Goals.
All the scores with more
goals than
0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 2-0, 0-2, 1-1 are the same as Over 2.5 Goals.
0-0, 1-1, 2-2, 3-3 plus a
bit of Any Unquoted are the same as the Draw in Match Odds.
All the Away scores plus a
bit of Any Unquoted are the
same as the Away Team in Match Odds.
All the Home scores plus a
bit of Any Unquoted are the
same as the Home Team in Match Odds
Next Goal = No Goal is the
same as the current score in Correct Score, throughout the
whole game.
2 goals or more in Total
Goals is the same as Over 1.5 Goals.
3
goals or more in Total Goals is the same as Over 2.5 Goals.
No Goal Scorer in First
Goal Scorer is the same as 0-0 in Correct Score
There are plenty of other
equivalent markets in football and other sports.
Equivalent markets such as these offer a quick way of betting or
laying a number of scores in Correct Score.
You may have a strategy in mind for trading the
Correct Score market.
The spreadsheet below can be used to bet or lay your selections for an equal
profit or loss whatever the outcome.
Your strategy may include another market but if you are using the Bretfair
screens, it will be impossible to see your total market position including
commission deductions.
This spreadsheet solves that problem.
Use this sheet to show the stakes required to equalize your Dutching bets or
lays.
Place your bets or lays and the sheet shows your total position in a single
market or across 2 markets combined.
Dutching Correct Score.
You may decide to bet or lay several scores in Correct Score with the intention
of hitting the winning score if you are betting, or laying losing scores or
laying to more than a 100% book if you are laying.
Either method offers a quick exit by betting or laying in an equivalent market. Example.
We may be Dutching by betting several scores Correct Score with the intention of
hitting the winning score.
Assuming some goals have been scored :-
Rather than betting more scores, we may decide on a quick exit by betting or
laying in another market such as the Under/Over markets.
The spreadsheet below shows the stakes required to equalize your trade by
Dutcing for an equal profit or loss across both markets.
Video 1 demonstrates inputs and how
the spreadsheet works.
Combined odds and equivalent markets
on Betfair.
Bet.. Dutch Match Odds with
insurance against a 0-0 result.
Lay. Dutch Match Odds with
insurance against a 0-0 result.
We could bet 0-0 to cover the liability of our lay of the Draw, but
this method has the advantage of a profit if the score remains 0-0,
rather than breaking even with zero profit.
The Dutching spreadsheet below can
be used to show the staking required to cover these scenarios, and
any other Dutching trades that involve 1 or 2 related markets.
Excel
spreadsheets for Betfair Football Trading.
Dutch 2 markets spreadsheets.
These spreadsheets show the stakes required to
Bet or Lay a single market or 2 markets for an equal profit (before commission)
or liability.
If Dutching 2 markets, the spreadsheets show your whole position across both
markets after commission. Dutch 2 Markets Excel
spreadsheets price £10.
You will need Excel 2007 or a later
version to view these
spreadsheets.
There are 2 spreadsheets
in this file, one for Dutching if Betting and a 2nd sheet for
Dutching if Laying.
Dutch (bet or lay more that 1 selection) in a
single market or 2 related markets.
Enter your bet or lay odds and the spreadsheet
shows the stakes required for an equal profit or loss whatever
the result.
Bet or Lay 2 markets
and this spreadsheet shows your overall position of both Betfair
markets combined.
Commission is built
into the calculations
Enter the odds for
both markets and your position in both markets can be seen
individually or across both markets combined.
Suitable for football, horses or any other
markets.
After payment via
PayPal, select the "Return to merchant" option on the PayPal screen.
PayPal should then route you to a download web page where you can obtain the
Excel spreadsheet file. Note.
If the file opens in "Read Only" mode, use "Save As" to rename the file.
That should unlock the file so that it is no longer Read Only.
Dutch 2 Markets Excel
spreadsheet price = £10.
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