1 or 2 Losers strategies.
Strategies and Excel spreadsheets for trading the Betfair Correct Score market or First Goal Scorer market of football matches .

1 Loser Strategy,
Using this strategy you can Lay several scores in the Correct Score market, or several players in the First Goal Scorer market, and win on every Lay except your FIRST Lay.
If you were Laying the Correct Score Market :-

  • The only way these Lays can lose is if you happen to pick the winning score line with your FIRST Lay.

  • Lay as many score lines as you like.
    The more you Lay, the bigger your profit.

  • Additionally, as with all other Laying strategies that involve more than one Lay, every Lay you make reduces your liabilities.

  • In this case your only liability will be on your First Lay.

  • As you make more Lays, that liability is reduced, and the profit on every other Lay increases.

  • If the match ends with a score that you have not Layed, you will have no payout whatsoever.
    You clean up, winning the total of all your Lays.

  • Remember, your only losing Lay will be on the FIRST score line that you Lay.
    You will win on all the others.

It is exactly the same if you Lay players in the First Goal Scorer Market.
You could also use this spreadsheet to Lay a number of horses in a horse race, golfers in a golf tournament, darts players in a darts competition etc.

1 Loser Strategy,  using the Correct Score Market as an example.
In a horse race, Bookies may Lay a few runners against the field, but another strategy is to Lay several runners but make only one targeted runner a loser.
With this 1 Loser strategy, we are doing the same thing, but in the Correct Score Market of a football match on Betfair.
We are not Laying the whole field, but just a few of the runners (score lines).

Using this 1 Loser strategy, we win on all score lines except one.
If we stake correctly, we can reduce our liabilities on one targeted score line by laying other score lines.
This is not the same as Laying a single score line.
Using this 1 Loser Strategy :-

  • We have only one score line against us, but with reduced liabilities.

  • All the others are running for us.

  • Any score lines that we don't Lay, are skinners for us - ALL our Lays are successful, and we clean up.

Example.
There are normally 17 score lines including "Any Other Score" that we can Lay.
We could Lay 4 score lines (for example), but only one will make a loss for us.

We Lay our First score line, which could be any one of the 17.
Then we Lay a 2nd score line, a 3rd, and a 4th.
We could carry on laying more score lines if we wish.
These 2nd, 3rd, and 4th Lays reduce our liabilities on our First Lay, just as any normal series of Lays would do, but if we stake correctly :-

  • If the winner does NOT come from the 4 horses (or in this case we don't hit the winning score) that we have layed, we have 4 successful lays, and we clean up, with no payout.

  • If the winner comes from score lines 2, 3, or 4, we make a profit.

  • If our First score line wins, we make a loss, but our liabilities have been reduced by the successful lays on score lines 2, 3 and 4.

Another example.
The shortest priced score line may be 1-0.
You may choose to make that your first Lay, and Lay all other scores up to 2-2.
Providing the game does not end with a score of 1-0, you will make a profit on every other Lay.

  • If the match ends with a score of 0-0, or any score up to 2-2 except 1-0, you are a winner.

  • If the match ends with a score that you have not Layed, you will have no payout whatsoever.
    You clean up, winning the total of all your Lays.

  • You will only lose if the match ends 1-0, but your 1-0 liabilities will have been reduced by your Lays on the other scores up to 2-2.

You may choose some other score for your First Lay such as 3-3, and Lay some other scores, such as 2-2, 2-3, 3-0, 3-1, 3-2.

  • If the match does not end 3-3, but ends with another score that you have Layed 2-2, 2-3, 3-0, 3-1, 3-2, you make a profit on your Lays.

  • If the match ends in a score that you have not Layed, you clean up, winning the total of all your Lays.

  • Your only payout would be on 3-3, but your 3-3 liabilities will have been reduced by your Lays on 2-2, 2-3, 3-0, 3-1, 3-2.

All you need to do to achieve this, is stake correctly.

2 Losers Strategy.
This strategy can be used to lay 2 (or more) score lines to lose.
Once again, we do not Lay the whole field, but a few score lines..
The procedure is exactly the same, but this time, 2 score lines are targeted to lose.

Liabilities on score lines 1 and 2 will be reduced by the additional Lays on score lines 3 upwards.
This strategy of targeting 2 score lines, has 2 advantages, but one additional drawback :-

  • A large slice of liability is reduced on score line 1 by the stake on score line 2.

  • A large slice of liability is reduced on score line 2 by the stake on score line 1.
    This strategy is particularly effective if score lines 1 and 2 are at short odds.

  • The downside is that we have 2 score lines running against us instead of 1.

If the winner does NOT come from the score lines that we have Layed, all our Lays are successful and we clean up, with no payout.
If the winner comes from score lines 4, 5, 6, etc., we still make a profit.
If one of the first 2 score lines wins, we make a loss, but our liabilities have been reduced by the successful lays on the other score lines, particularly score line 1 or score line 2.

This is not the same as just Laying 2 score lines.
We are reducing our liabilities on 2 targeted score lines by laying lesser amounts on additional score lines.

Excel spreadsheets are a quick and reliable way of doing calculations.
You can build a spreadsheet to cover the strategy described above, or purchase an excellent spreadsheet here for only 10.
1 or 2 Losers spreadsheets.
You will need Excel 2000 or a later version to view these spreadsheets.

These 1 or 2 Losers spreadsheets calculate instantly the lay stakes required to Lay up to 20 selections to reduce the liability on either 1 or 2 target selections.
You could of course use this spreadsheet for any event other than a football match.
This Excel file contains 2 separate spreadsheets for your tenner. 

1 loser spreadsheet
Only the first
selection will have a negative liability.
Once you lay more than 2
selections, a profit will be made on selections 2 to 20.

2 losers spreadsheet
Only the first 2
selections will have negative liabilities.
Once you lay more than 3
selections, a profit will be made on selections 3 to 20.

If none of the Layed selections win, you clean up with the total of all the Lay amounts staked - you have a "Skinner".

The more selections you Lay :-

  • The less your liabilities become on your target selections

  • The more profit you show on other Layed selections

  • The bigger the payout on a "Skinner" - a selection you haven't Layed.

1 or 2 Losers spreadsheets price = 10
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